Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 995 | 61% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1311 | 43% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1098 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 867 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1078 | 52% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 872 | 68% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1096.8 has a 41.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).