Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (20 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 56
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 967 | 59% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 995 | 54% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1057 | 1023 | 55% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1006 | 67% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 976 | 72% | 2010-11-05 | Won |
| 1185 | 1110 | 61% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1110 | 32% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 987 | 1110 | 33% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1168 | 1232 | 41% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 1147 | 43% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1201 | 1165 | 55% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 910 | 1040 | 32% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 1028 | 66% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
| 1061 | 1022 | 56% | 2009-08-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1165 | 26% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1074.5 vs 1067.8 has a 50.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).