Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 12
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1050 | 48% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1064 | 46% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1001 | 66% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 1058 | 44% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1130 | 46% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
| 986 | 1130 | 30% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
| 974 | 1130 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1169 | 1310 | 31% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1156 | 42% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
| 1145 | 1148 | 50% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
| 909 | 1017 | 35% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
| 965 | 1148 | 26% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1106.4 has a 43.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).