ASL Scenario Archive

Failure to Communicate

Games with no balance used/recorded: 44

Attacker wins (German): 25

Defender wins (French): 19

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
756	1110	12%	2025-07-11	Lost
939	896	56%	2025-06-20	Lost
954	954	50%	2025-04-13	Won
1174	1138	55%	2024-01-06	Won
1047	996	57%	2022-08-17	Lost
1243	1020	78%	2022-04-24	Lost
1135	1070	59%	2021-08-14	Won
885	1135	19%	2021-07-25	Won
1151	1127	53%	2021-01-16	Lost
886	927	44%	2020-10-31	Won
1035	1113	39%	2020-08-11	Won
1233	1079	71%	2020-07-25	Won
980	1103	33%	2020-07-10	Lost
1058	1082	47%	2020-03-27	Won
1191	1217	46%	2020-02-03	Won
1196	1217	47%	2020-02-03	Won
1106	898	77%	2018-12-28	Won
1082	1046	55%	2018-07-06	Lost
976	976	50%	2018-01-23	Won
1110	951	71%	2017-11-04	Won
961	1151	25%	2017-11-04	Lost
1110	1138	46%	2017-09-30	Won
1098	977	67%	2017-04-12	Won
1072	966	65%	2016-12-17	Won
1059	982	61%	2016-07-19	Lost
976	1144	28%	2015-07-03	Lost
1226	1174	57%	2015-01-22	Won
1035	1105	40%	2014-11-10	Won
1017	1035	47%	2014-08-05	Lost
1080	1226	30%	2013-10-23	Lost
1091	983	65%	2013-03-09	Lost
1051	898	71%	2012-05-15	Won
1151	739	91%	2012-05-10	Won
1079	1203	33%	2011-11-19	Lost
1010	943	60%	2011-11-01	Won
1148	1010	69%	2011-02-02	Won
982	969	52%	2010-09-13	Lost
1075	1100	46%	2010-05-30	Lost
1059	1117	42%	2010-05-30	Won
1206	1037	73%	2010-05-07	Won
969	968	50%	2010-04-16	Won
1022	1122	36%	2010-03-05	Lost
1054	1122	40%	2010-03-05	Lost
1207	1029	74%	2010-01-16	Lost

Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1049.8 has a 52.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).