Failure to Communicate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (28 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (French): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1112 | 54% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
1045 | 974 | 60% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
1266 | 994 | 83% | 2022-04-24 | Lost |
1135 | 1126 | 51% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
886 | 780 | 65% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
1034 | 1112 | 39% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
1128 | 1175 | 43% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
1058 | 1030 | 54% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2020-02-03 | Won |
1090 | 959 | 68% | 2018-12-28 | Won |
1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2018-01-23 | Won |
1095 | 960 | 69% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2017-09-30 | Won |
1028 | 965 | 59% | 2016-12-17 | Won |
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2016-07-19 | Lost |
980 | 1197 | 22% | 2015-07-03 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-01-22 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2014-08-05 | Lost |
1018 | 1225 | 23% | 2013-10-23 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2013-03-09 | Lost |
1091 | 959 | 68% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
1083 | 959 | 67% | 2011-11-01 | Won |
1149 | 1083 | 59% | 2011-02-02 | Won |
1017 | 1008 | 51% | 2010-05-30 | Lost |
904 | 904 | 50% | 2010-05-07 | Won |
940 | 1043 | 36% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1033.9 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).