Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1053 | 70% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1244 | 32% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1117 | 52% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1167 | 948 | 78% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1182 | 37% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1003 | 55% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1333 | 18% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1143 | 30% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 1205 | 31% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 1217 | 27% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1094.3 vs 1141.7 has a 43.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).