Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 1055 | 69% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1131 | 1243 | 34% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1112 | 47% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1177 | 38% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1026 | 51% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1142 | 30% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1143.5 has a 42.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).