Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1053 | 75% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 1242 | 35% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1084 | 48% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1132 | 50% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1086 | 1175 | 37% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1046 | 47% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1336 | 19% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1066 | 1088 | 47% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 1022 | 1181 | 29% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1092.9 vs 1136.8 has a 43.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).