Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1054 | 69% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 1243 | 36% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1112 | 46% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1143 | 49% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 1176 | 39% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1144 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1329 | 21% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1154 | 29% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 1186 | 34% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1146.3 has a 41.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).