Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1055 | 72% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1195 | 1242 | 43% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1171 | 43% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1195 | 41% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1028 | 68% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1061 | 1195 | 32% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1144 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1302 | 23% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1066 | 1089 | 47% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 983 | 1160 | 27% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1096 vs 1148 has a 42.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).