Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 974 | 38% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 972 | 1164 | 25% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1059 | 58% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1307 | 993 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1053 | 38% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1190 | 29% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1037 | 62% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1071 | 60% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 982 | 57% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 1162 | 1113 | 57% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1169 | 994 | 73% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1154 | 927 | 79% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1073 | 693 | 90% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 693 | 90% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1194 | 1139 | 58% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1266 | 37% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1088.9 vs 1036.3 has a 57.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).