Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 972 | 44% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 995 | 1116 | 33% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1089 | 53% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1307 | 992 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1177 | 30% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1045 | 63% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1068 | 52% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1338 | 42% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 982 | 56% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 891 | 1125 | 21% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1260 | 993 | 82% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 927 | 78% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1075 | 694 | 90% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 694 | 90% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 1140 | 58% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1260 | 1068 | 75% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1303 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1098.2 vs 1053.3 has a 56.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).