Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1064 | 51% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1025 | 1127 | 36% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 998 | 68% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1154 | 1251 | 36% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1329 | 21% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1177 | 33% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1052 | 62% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1163 | 21% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1067 | 49% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1082.9 vs 1060 has a 53.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).