Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (24 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 49
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1023 | 59% | 2024-10-17 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2024-03-06 | | Won |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1096 | 44% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1095 | 37% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1128 | 965 | 72% | 2021-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2021-02-16 | | Won |
| 1016 | 943 | 60% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1016 | 943 | 60% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2018-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1182 | 34% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1262 | 1000 | 82% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1262 | 953 | 86% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2015-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2012-09-18 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-08-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-02-06 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1038.5 has a 56.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).