Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 50
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1112 | 34% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1014 | 65% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-09-18 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-02-06 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1010.1 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).