Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1128 | 42% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 998 | 1157 | 29% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1126 | 993 | 68% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1041 | 49% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 913 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1010 | 913 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1249 | 35% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1125 | 44% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1080 | 58% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 925 | 1141 | 22% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1151 | 49% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 1066 | 49% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1079.5 has a 49.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).