Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1109 | 47% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1148 | 915 | 79% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 972 | 1154 | 26% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 930 | 76% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 917 | 63% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1135 | 1261 | 33% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1340 | 18% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1176 | 30% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1029 | 67% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1126 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 1110 | 26% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1067 | 49% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1064.1 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).