Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (American): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1073 | 52% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 947 | 1164 | 22% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1159 | 45% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1180 | 40% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1128 | 889 | 80% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1054 | 47% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1176 | 1262 | 38% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1182 | 31% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1338 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1249 | 959 | 84% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1154 | 1045 | 65% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1088 | 29% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1087 vs 1071 has a 52.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).