Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1122 | 1053 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1067 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1188 | 33% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 875 | 61% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1023 | 1117 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1047.6 has a 48.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).