Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1067 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 836 | 78% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 875 | 61% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.4 vs 993.6 has a 55.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).