Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
1048 | 1068 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
1087 | 880 | 77% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
953 | 881 | 60% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 967 vs 980.5 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).