An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (11 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 44
Defender wins (German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 889 | 62% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 733 | 1254 | 5% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 972 | 1154 | 26% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 972 | 903 | 60% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1254 | 973 | 83% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 879 | 864 | 52% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1109 | 975 | 68% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 986 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1005.1 vs 1013.5 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).