An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (11 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 841 | 66% | 2023-04-16 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-05-20 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1284 | 4% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1146 | 25% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1107 | 73% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2012-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-03-22 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-04-23 | | Won |
| 985 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 1024.2 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).