An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (11 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 941 | 63% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 765 | 1193 | 8% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1140 | 37% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1050 | 900 | 70% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1193 | 947 | 80% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 937 | 863 | 60% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 975 | 66% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
| 987 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 987 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1000.7 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).