An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (11 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 45
Defender wins (German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 841 | 67% | 2023-04-16 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-05-20 | | Lost |
| 734 | 1217 | 6% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 1156 | 59% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2012-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-03-22 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-04-23 | | Won |
| 985 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1011.4 vs 1020.5 has a 48.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).