Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (8 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Danish): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 907 | 68% | 2026-05-17 | Won |
| 965 | 973 | 49% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 924 | 1102 | 26% | 2019-02-20 | Won |
| 972 | 963 | 51% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1083 | 69% | 2014-08-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2014-01-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2002-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.5 vs 1017.8 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).