Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (38 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Polish): 84
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1189 | 36% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1268 | 1256 | 52% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1016 | 1042 | 46% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1051 | 44% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 961 | 1064 | 36% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1114 | 60% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1189 | 25% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 738 | 86% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 973 | 1052 | 39% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1064 | 1099 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1038 | 51% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 816 | 936 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 986 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 932 | 67% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 764 | 1060 | 15% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 941 | 77% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1329 | 25% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1163 | 1102 | 59% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1051.9 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).