Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (30 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (Polish): 64
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
1188 | 1260 | 40% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
939 | 1096 | 29% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
924 | 968 | 44% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
960 | 1018 | 42% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
1039 | 968 | 60% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
1192 | 1183 | 51% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
1104 | 1022 | 62% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
1202 | 1284 | 38% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
1008 | 1115 | 35% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
972 | 1087 | 34% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1073 | 991 | 62% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
815 | 937 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
914 | 988 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
1056 | 994 | 59% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
968 | 1008 | 44% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
1197 | 941 | 81% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
1134 | 1300 | 28% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1063.4 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).