Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (23 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 66
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 879 | 71% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 975 | 60% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 870 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 875 | 1068 | 25% | 2013-07-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 959 | 57% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 854 | 80% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1283 | 923 | 89% | 2010-09-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 1101 | 50% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1101 | 33% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1029 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1021 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).