Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
| 1033 | 966 | 60% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2012-08-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 945 | 58% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1058 | 872 | 74% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1147 | 43% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 1147 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1010 | 54% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 960 | 1117 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035 vs 1039.3 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).