Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 174 (50 on the archive and 124 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 91
Defender wins (American): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1154 | 32% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1018 | 51% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1268 | 43% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1027 | 66% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 873 | 1044 | 27% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1033 | 48% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 909 | 1008 | 36% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1052 | 985 | 60% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 1035 | 983 | 57% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 998 | 971 | 54% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 878 | 1110 | 21% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1268 | 19% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1154 | 991 | 72% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1094 | 1163 | 40% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1181 | 844 | 87% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 998 | 1060 | 41% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1163 | 43% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 932 | 44% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1215 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1145 | 37% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 960 | 1181 | 22% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1090 | 46% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 846 | 869 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1329 | 1100 | 79% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1100 | 79% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 998 | 766 | 79% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1242 | 1096 | 70% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 888 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1064 | 47% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 932 | 1176 | 20% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1194 | 1152 | 56% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1064 | 1020 | 56% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1124 | 1107 | 52% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 921 | 1118 | 24% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1050 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).