Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1241 | 15% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1066 | 62% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1209 | 22% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1310 | 21% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 896 | 958 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1100 | 66% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1033 | 748 | 84% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 967 | 60% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1091.3 has a 45.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).