Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1099 | 29% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1216 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1067 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1242 | 14% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1110 | 45% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 968 | 60% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1099.1 has a 42.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).