Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (17 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1202 | 18% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1220 | 28% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1066 | 57% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1209 | 22% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1100 | 66% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1148 | 890 | 82% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1191 | 44% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1020 | 52% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1100 has a 45.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).