Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1139 | 24% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1067 | 60% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1215 | 23% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 898 | 958 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 950 | 1099 | 30% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1152 | 889 | 82% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1196 | 44% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1033 | 1051 | 47% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 971 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1098.2 has a 43.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).