The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (38 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 928 | 1005 | 39% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 925 | 1089 | 28% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 1125 | 43% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 977 | 1139 | 28% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 993 | 977 | 52% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1060 | 40% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 1037 | 42% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1231 | 19% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 987 | 1238 | 19% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 982 | 972 | 51% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1020 | 71% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 947 | 36% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 945 | 1110 | 28% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 940 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1081 | 959 | 67% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 938 | 60% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1055 | 45% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 964 | 1143 | 26% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 906 | 1097 | 25% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 991 | 1342 | 12% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1080 | 79% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 945 | 1129 | 26% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2010-08-23 | Lost |
| 694 | 1052 | 11% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 994.1 vs 1057.6 has a 40.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).