The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (36 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 34
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 985 | 50% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
| 926 | 893 | 55% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 932 | 999 | 40% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1112 | 45% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1104 | 41% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 947 | 1037 | 37% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 979 | 1333 | 12% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
| 977 | 1208 | 21% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1009 | 45% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 985 | 50% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1114 | 1020 | 63% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 844 | 974 | 32% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1183 | 32% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 940 | 57% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 937 | 61% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
| 1112 | 1054 | 58% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 982 | 1144 | 28% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
| 906 | 1028 | 33% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1089 | 71% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1055 | 62% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1137 | 56% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
| 693 | 1050 | 11% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 851 | 1020 | 27% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1005.1 vs 1055.2 has a 42.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).