The Queen's Prequel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (31 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 29
Defender wins (German): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-06-18 | Lost |
920 | 898 | 53% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1001 | 941 | 59% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
983 | 1131 | 30% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
1015 | 983 | 55% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1015 | 1045 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
997 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-11-14 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
979 | 1307 | 13% | 2018-12-11 | Tied |
1027 | 1327 | 15% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
978 | 1012 | 45% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
1113 | 1020 | 63% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
858 | 1013 | 29% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
1055 | 1104 | 43% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
993 | 1108 | 34% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
988 | 945 | 56% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
988 | 991 | 50% | 2011-12-10 | Won |
982 | 1145 | 28% | 2011-03-28 | Lost |
913 | 1083 | 27% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
993 | 1008 | 48% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
701 | 1108 | 9% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
851 | 1019 | 28% | 2010-08-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 972.5 vs 1047.7 has a 39.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).