The Riley Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 844 | 1020 | 27% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1063 | 984 | 61% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1007 | 66% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 1113 | 36% | 2013-08-05 | Lost |
| 1147 | 986 | 72% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 1340 | 12% | 2011-12-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1078 | 40% | 2011-02-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1017 | 56% | 2010-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1058.9 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).