The Volga is Reached!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1013 | 45% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1285 | 37% | 2025-10-10 | Lost |
| 970 | 1193 | 22% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 953 | 958 | 49% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 995 | 1024 | 46% | 2021-11-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1034 | 49% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1173 | 30% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1282 | 18% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1193 | 14% | 2020-06-27 | Tied |
| 1193 | 879 | 86% | 2018-11-23 | Won |
| 1030 | 990 | 56% | 2018-07-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1193 | 26% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 1216 | 885 | 87% | 2011-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1069.1 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).