Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (20 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1162 | 33% | 2026-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2026-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-08-05 | | Lost |
| 958 | 946 | 52% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2024-01-13 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1030 | 49% | 2017-11-05 | | Won |
| 1147 | 815 | 87% | 2017-02-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 815 | 87% | 2017-01-26 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2016-03-05 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 916 | 62% | 2016-01-24 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2013-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1278 | 1000 | 83% | 2011-02-27 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2011-02-27 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2011-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1203 | 26% | 2011-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 979 | 54% | 2010-12-03 | | Won |
| 866 | 1091 | 21% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 951 | 61% | 2010-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1033 vs 999.7 has a 54.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).