Block to Bataan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (19 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Filipino / American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1023 | 60% | 2026-01-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2024-08-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 1110 | 32% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1264 | 1319 | 42% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2017-02-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-05 | Tied |
| 987 | 1036 | 43% | 2016-01-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 1038 | 53% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1190 | 946 | 80% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1048 | 90% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1061 | 930 | 68% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1165 | 1185 | 47% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1232 | 24% | 2011-01-28 | Lost |
| 983 | 987 | 49% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 1080 | 1170 | 37% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1002 | 58% | 2010-10-04 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1091.3 vs 1037.4 has a 57.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).