Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (58 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 98
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1041 | 53% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 995 | 53% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1063 | 1124 | 41% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 896 | 1099 | 24% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 965 | 951 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 942 | 68% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 935 | 1102 | 28% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 881 | 59% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1124 | 1142 | 47% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 989 | 51% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1123 | 999 | 67% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1051 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 982 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1131 | 1020 | 65% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1007 | 951 | 58% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 984 | 1165 | 26% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 967 | 1001 | 45% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 994 | 46% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1151 | 31% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 979 | 57% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 1333 | 14% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1002 | 59% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 1063 | 41% | 2014-01-14 | Won |
| 890 | 1028 | 31% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1051 | 956 | 63% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1144 | 42% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1065 | 1144 | 39% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 881 | 1162 | 17% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2012-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 916 | 1025 | 35% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
| 1131 | 1020 | 65% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1183 | 1065 | 66% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1210 | 1022 | 75% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1131 | 1020 | 65% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 1177 | 28% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1020 | 56% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1050 | 1207 | 29% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1152 | 52% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1165 | 998 | 72% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1064.1 has a 44.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).