Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (50 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 92
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1122 | 51% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1007 | 51% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1019 | 1105 | 38% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 866 | 1045 | 26% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 964 | 939 | 54% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 960 | 66% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 970 | 1126 | 29% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 911 | 55% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1130 | 1184 | 42% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 953 | 1114 | 28% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 999 | 62% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 989 | 1087 | 36% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 981 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 986 | 75% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 907 | 64% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1148 | 29% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 987 | 48% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1139 | 31% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
| 1043 | 1100 | 42% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1063 | 979 | 62% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1156 | 1310 | 29% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
| 889 | 1034 | 30% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1087 | 956 | 68% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1067 | 42% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1145 | 46% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 882 | 1167 | 16% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
| 966 | 1020 | 42% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1066 | 43% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1022 | 61% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1227 | 1018 | 77% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1275 | 1021 | 81% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 1168 | 29% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1071 | 43% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1031 | 940 | 63% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1045.6 vs 1050.1 has a 49.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).