One Last Mighty Hew
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (20 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1094 | 67% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 1020 | 67% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1078 | 1036 | 56% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1118 | 48% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-02-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1052 | 50% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1110 | 1036 | 60% | 2012-02-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1329 | 31% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1114 | 51% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1093 | 45% | 2011-10-02 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2011-01-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1039 | 36% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 1111 | 1050 | 59% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2010-05-25 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1077.8 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).