One Last Mighty Hew
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (18 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1097 | 67% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1079 | 1041 | 55% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1125 | 46% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1083 | 1111 | 46% | 2013-02-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1080 | 46% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1110 | 1041 | 60% | 2012-02-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1310 | 33% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1111 | 52% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2011-10-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1077 | 49% | 2011-01-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1039 | 36% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1073 | 41% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2010-05-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1073.2 vs 1069.7 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).