One Last Mighty Hew
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (21 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2025-09-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 981 | 46% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1094 | 67% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1075 | 53% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-02-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1024 | 51% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1124 | 1045 | 61% | 2012-02-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1252 | 41% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1113 | 45% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-10-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1078 | 54% | 2011-01-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1039 | 36% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1105 | 37% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 1126 | 1068 | 58% | 2010-10-08 | Won |
| 1068 | 1260 | 25% | 2010-05-25 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1074.8 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).