Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French / British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 970 | 81% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1199 | 885 | 86% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 1015 | 48% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1254 | 20% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1040.4 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).