Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (15 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (French / British): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1249 | 36% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1073 | 54% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1018 | 77% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 930 | 73% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1184 | 55% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 901 | 1014 | 34% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1294 | 23% | 2011-01-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1228 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.5 vs 1080.5 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).