Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French / British): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1223 | 934 | 84% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 901 | 77% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1196 | 53% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1016 has a 55.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).