Mountain Hunters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33
Attacker wins (Romanian/German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 961 | 1024 | 41% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 1136 | 1108 | 54% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 1155 | 38% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1061 | 45% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1049 | 44% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1063 | 925 | 69% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 906 | 939 | 45% | 2021-07-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 965 | 993 | 46% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 985 | 978 | 51% | 2020-09-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 907 | 86% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 1219 | 33% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1038 | 75% | 2014-04-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 966 | 58% | 2012-12-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 1046 | 54% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 955 | 1005 | 43% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 1085 | 964 | 67% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 1070 | 57% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1100 | 55% | 2011-09-23 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1303 | 32% | 2011-08-17 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1191 | 26% | 2011-07-29 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1018 | 69% | 2011-07-02 | Won |
| 966 | 1159 | 25% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1042 | 1098 | 42% | 2011-05-28 | Won |
| 899 | 964 | 41% | 2011-05-19 | Won |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2011-04-07 | Won |
| 1107 | 1081 | 54% | 2011-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1047.6 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).