Mountain Hunters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (Romanian/German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1027 | 1044 | 48% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 964 | 1098 | 32% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1189 | 31% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 990 | 981 | 51% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 927 | 66% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2021-07-30 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 993 | 65% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1050 | 1047 | 50% | 2020-09-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 881 | 87% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1035 | 75% | 2014-04-17 | Lost |
| 1078 | 965 | 66% | 2012-12-14 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 955 | 998 | 44% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 968 | 1151 | 26% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 930 | 67% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1029 | 67% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1183 | 40% | 2011-09-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-08-29 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1340 | 27% | 2011-08-17 | Lost |
| 998 | 1140 | 31% | 2011-07-29 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2011-07-02 | Won |
| 981 | 1206 | 21% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1342 | 15% | 2011-06-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1097 | 38% | 2011-05-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 930 | 62% | 2011-05-19 | Won |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2011-04-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 1073 | 56% | 2011-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1065.6 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).