Mountain Hunters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Romanian/German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2022-06-11 | Won |
| 964 | 1099 | 31% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 1054 | 1186 | 32% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2022-02-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-02-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 927 | 65% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1044 | 51% | 2021-07-30 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2020-11-26 | Lost |
| 1277 | 993 | 84% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1026 | 1061 | 45% | 2020-09-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 906 | 86% | 2017-04-09 | Won |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1037 | 75% | 2014-04-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2012-12-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 983 | 63% | 2012-04-28 | Lost |
| 968 | 1152 | 26% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 1069 | 998 | 60% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1052 | 64% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1182 | 47% | 2011-09-23 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1114 | 57% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2011-08-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2011-08-22 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1329 | 28% | 2011-08-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 1135 | 25% | 2011-07-29 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1104 | 52% | 2011-07-02 | Won |
| 965 | 1158 | 25% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2011-05-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2011-05-19 | Won |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2011-04-07 | Won |
| 1111 | 1118 | 49% | 2011-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1063.2 has a 50.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).