Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2017-11-26 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2013-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2011-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1073.3 has a 44.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).