Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1142 | 1077 | 59% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 870 | 1233 | 11% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2013-08-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 1198 | 1141 | 58% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1075 | 61% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1012 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1074.8 vs 1083 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).