Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 970 | 69% | 2025-01-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 771 | 82% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1080 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 1113 | 31% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1218 | 19% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 928 | 69% | 2016-06-06 | Lost |
| 997 | 1059 | 41% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2011-06-30 | Lost |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1049 | 75% | 2011-04-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1120 | 62% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1044.8 has a 54.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).