Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2025-01-12 | D | Won |
| 1059 | 750 | 86% | 2021-08-24 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-07-11 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2020-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2019-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2016-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2011-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1022 | 71% | 2011-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2011-04-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1030.8 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).