Three for the Third
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2025-01-12 | Won |
| 1028 | 779 | 81% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1219 | 19% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 979 | 63% | 2016-06-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 1057 | 41% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-10-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2011-06-30 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2011-04-28 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1106 | 63% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1049.8 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).