Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2020-02-17 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2020-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2018-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1134 | 34% | 2017-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2017-03-25 | | Won |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2015-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2014-01-04 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1019 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2011-09-13 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1027 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).