Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 970 | 78% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1192 | 970 | 78% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1133 | 36% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 989 | 35% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1151 | 43% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1057 | 55% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1114 | 1038 | 61% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1036 | 61% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 898 | 846 | 57% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1032.3 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).