Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1191 | 893 | 85% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1191 | 893 | 85% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 878 | 1056 | 26% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1127 | 47% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 1013 | 63% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1030.9 has a 56.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).