Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1133 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 879 | 805 | 60% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1163 | 42% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1014 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1016 | 887 | 68% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 996 has a 57.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).