Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 869 | 86% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1187 | 869 | 86% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 958 | 1132 | 27% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 877 | 958 | 39% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1056 | 997 | 58% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1113 | 1016 | 64% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 899 | 998 | 36% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1011.8 has a 56.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).