Breaking the Ishun Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1058 | 66% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1143 | 54% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1244 | 20% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1342 | 12% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047.2 vs 1093.7 has a 43.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).