An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1027 | 47% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1280 | 938 | 88% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1220 | 30% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1135 | 35% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1135 | 31% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1039 | 68% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 953 | 952 | 50% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1080.9 vs 1072.9 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).