Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (14 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 970 | 72% | 2018-11-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1219 | 21% | 2018-09-08 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1136 | 26% | 2018-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-11-18 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-08-04 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1033 | 64% | 2014-09-23 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1215 | 841 | 90% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 987 | 89% | 2012-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2012-01-17 | | Won |
| 968 | 1133 | 28% | 2011-10-06 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1127 | 58% | 2011-10-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1047.9 has a 54.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).