Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1096 | 970 | 67% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1253 | 18% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1096 | 30% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1072 | 58% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1036 | 53% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1055 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1171 | 859 | 86% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 1126 | 47% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1054.7 has a 50.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).