Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 805 | 91% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1333 | 12% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1088 | 54% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1118 | 805 | 86% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1038 | 70% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1171 | 889 | 84% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1078 | 35% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 1131 | 43% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1039.6 has a 52.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).