Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1022 | 69% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 970 | 70% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1234 | 19% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 1121 | 27% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1131 | 1022 | 65% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1022 | 1131 | 35% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1056 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1175 | 843 | 87% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1343 | 986 | 89% | 2012-06-24 | Won |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1085 | 1126 | 44% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1050.1 has a 52.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).