Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (16 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1079 | 48% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 975 | 903 | 60% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1141 | 907 | 79% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1121 | 51% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1121 | 51% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1066 | 52% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 902 | 1066 | 28% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1018 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 967 | 61% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 1003 | 65% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1235 | 22% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1018 | 56% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 968 | 958 | 51% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1048 | 1027 | 53% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1030.6 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).