Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 1011 | 47% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 861 | 76% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1328 | 21% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1328 | 21% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1105 | 47% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1105 | 41% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1020 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 934 | 66% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 891 | 1143 | 19% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1081.8 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).