Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 738 | 809 | 40% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1051 | 60% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 1119 | 60% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 962 | 1110 | 30% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1329 | 29% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1104.9 has a 39.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).