Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 754 | 1017 | 18% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1051 | 50% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1193 | 1119 | 60% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1133 | 971 | 72% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 937 | 1131 | 25% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1333 | 29% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 998 | 1145 | 30% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1114.4 has a 39.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).