Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 867 | 965 | 36% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 978 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 1123 | 52% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1195 | 1028 | 72% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1197 | 1176 | 53% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1199 | 1035 | 72% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1154 | 38% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 898 | 978 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1209 | 45% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1081 | 1084 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1076.2 has a 50.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).