Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 1017 | 18% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1051 | 51% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1203 | 1118 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1059 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1118 | 38% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1333 | 29% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1217 | 27% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1118 | 38% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1117.9 has a 42.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).