A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1039 | 51% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1064 | 49% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 738 | 738 | 50% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1039 | 66% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 998 | 67% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1329 | 14% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1052 | 72% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 1027 | 71% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1118 | 29% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1163 | 26% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1020 | 56% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1329 | 30% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.3 vs 1063.7 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).