A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 928 | 56% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 1128 | 37% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 823 | 831 | 49% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1132 | 1043 | 63% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 993 | 68% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1080 | 69% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1125 | 28% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1141 | 29% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1018 | 57% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1113 | 983 | 68% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1310 | 32% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1046.2 has a 53.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).