A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1025 | 45% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1109 | 43% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1027 | 755 | 83% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1055 | 63% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1086 | 903 | 74% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1165 | 970 | 75% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1274 | 18% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1044 | 73% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 970 | 1086 | 34% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1089 | 34% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1019 | 64% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1107 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1179 | 1274 | 37% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089.1 vs 1043.9 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).