A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1021 | 55% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 707 | 88% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1118 | 1056 | 59% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 893 | 71% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1231 | 23% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1342 | 945 | 91% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1342 | 945 | 91% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1230 | 945 | 84% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 970 | 1052 | 38% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1117 | 31% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1019 | 67% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1107 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1180 | 1231 | 43% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1112.5 vs 1012.6 has a 64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).