Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1077 | 57% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 1077 | 47% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1031 | 937 | 63% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1216 | 47% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1216 | 28% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1033 | 65% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1108.2 vs 1100.6 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).