Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1097 | 33% | 2026-07-11 | Won |
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 951 | 1030 | 39% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1030 | 54% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 986 | 64% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1216 | 37% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1216 | 31% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1191 | 1110 | 61% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093.4 vs 1091 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).