Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1106 | 51% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 1128 | 1061 | 60% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 1061 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 966 | 66% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1160 | 1219 | 42% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1219 | 48% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1004 | 68% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 865 | 83% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1127.3 vs 1077 has a 57.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).