Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 933 | 1042 | 35% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1042 | 53% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 884 | 71% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 1217 | 43% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1217 | 35% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 1078.9 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).