Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1137 | 53% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1115 | 40% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1061 | 1115 | 42% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1050 | 927 | 67% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1219 | 42% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1219 | 41% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1119.5 vs 1114.7 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).