Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2025-02-07 | Tied |
| 1044 | 1098 | 42% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1098 | 45% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 998 | 67% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1165 | 1219 | 42% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1219 | 45% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 974 | 75% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1127.4 vs 1131.9 has a 49.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).