Texas Flood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2025-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 699 | 85% | 2024-07-14 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2024-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1275 | 1125 | 70% | 2022-10-29 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-12-01 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2019-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2016-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2015-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2014-05-13 | | Won |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2014-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-09-08 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2013-08-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2013-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2012-05-12 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 1041.6 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).