Texas Flood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 738 | 85% | 2024-07-14 | Won |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1189 | 59% | 2022-10-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-12-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1071 | 48% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 764 | 87% | 2015-09-26 | Won |
| 764 | 1032 | 18% | 2014-05-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 1152 | 18% | 2013-09-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1170 | 1329 | 29% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 952 | 1067 | 34% | 2012-11-26 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1061.6 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).