A Bloody Waste
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (18 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1140 | 34% | 2026-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-04-19 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-02-23 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2021-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 939 | 63% | 2020-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2018-07-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2018-01-13 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-08-11 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1146 | 16% | 2014-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2014-01-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-10-31 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1063 | 37% | 2013-10-12 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-10-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2012-05-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1055 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).