Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (29 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 72
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2023-07-19 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-07-05 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2023-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2022-04-14 | | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-05-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-11-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2016-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-11-12 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1010 | 70% | 2016-06-24 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1055 | 51% | 2015-05-17 | | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2015-05-17 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2015-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2014-11-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2014-04-03 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2014-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2013-06-15 | | Tied |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2013-06-14 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1044 | 63% | 2013-06-04 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-04-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2013-02-09 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1018 | 35% | 2012-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-10-06 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1050.1 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).