Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (12 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 879 | 82% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 958 | 1041 | 38% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 917 | 958 | 44% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1114 | 49% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1216 | 959 | 81% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 958 | 1117 | 29% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 958 | 1117 | 29% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1089 | 46% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1030.1 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).