Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1197 | 977 | 78% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
941 | 1013 | 40% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
1095 | 1111 | 48% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
1327 | 961 | 89% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
1053 | 1108 | 42% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1067.5 has a 46.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).