Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 940 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 998 | 72% | 2022-04-18 | | Won |
| 918 | 981 | 41% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-10-29 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-05 | | Won |
| 974 | 1080 | 35% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1043 | 1084 | 44% | 2012-07-28 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1020.6 has a 55.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).