Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 884 | 87% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1169 | 1189 | 47% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 918 | 988 | 40% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 916 | 65% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 1063 | 42% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1111 | 51% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1220 | 957 | 82% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1003 | 46% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1017.1 has a 58.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).