Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1243 | 956 | 84% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1243 | 1076 | 72% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 986 | 58% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 918 | 933 | 48% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 916 | 65% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1111 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1245 | 957 | 84% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1077 | 36% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1143 | 45% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1109 | 1143 | 45% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1073 | 47% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1015.6 has a 60.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).