Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (12 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 891 | 84% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1184 | 49% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 933 | 72% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1111 | 47% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1170 | 959 | 77% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1065 | 38% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1086 | 45% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1023.4 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).