Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 927 | 78% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 917 | 951 | 45% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1203 | 19% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1114 | 55% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1210 | 960 | 81% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1190 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1050 | 51% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1090.2 vs 1013.6 has a 60.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).