The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2025-03-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1220 | 55% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 968 | 52% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 756 | 1073 | 14% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 1064 | 1054 | 51% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1175 | 932 | 80% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1222 | 23% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1218 | 1073 | 70% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 983 | 80% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2014-11-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1195 | 41% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1061 | 65% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1106.7 vs 1049.2 has a 58.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).