Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 831 | 82% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
1090 | 1219 | 32% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
853 | 1157 | 15% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
940 | 988 | 43% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
946 | 865 | 61% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
963 | 908 | 58% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1015.9 vs 1024.4 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).