Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (13 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 755 | 86% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1005 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 1218 | 30% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 998 | 42% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1006 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 876 | 1060 | 26% | 2014-12-13 | Won |
| 1007 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 949 | 964 | 48% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 992.4 vs 1031.6 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).