Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 814 | 83% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 1219 | 32% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 995 | 42% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1202 | 1228 | 46% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 1181 | 21% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 929 | 55% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032 vs 1059.8 has a 46.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).