The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-12 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-04-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2014-04-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-03-21 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1001.6 has a 49.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).