The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.4 vs 1067.1 has a 54.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).