The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1176 | 33% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1136 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 754 | 978 | 22% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1079.4 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).