The Shooting Gallery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (11 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German / Hungarian ): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-05-14 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1169 | 32% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-10-24 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-05-13 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2019-01-30 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1218 | 33% | 2017-08-10 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2015-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1009 | 57% | 2014-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2012-06-25 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1108 | 45% | 2012-01-21 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1077.6 has a 48.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).