Third Time Lucky
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (2 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1053 | 38% | 2022-11-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1159 | 31% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 995 vs 1106 has a 34.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).