Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2020-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2012-10-26 | | Won |
| 1080 | 927 | 71% | 2012-08-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1108 | 56% | 2012-08-02 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1196 | 1051 | 70% | 2012-07-29 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1156 | 28% | 2012-07-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.7 vs 1038.4 has a 54.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).