Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1031 | 64% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1062 | 1085 | 47% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 946 | 63% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
| 1128 | 1107 | 53% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1051 | 72% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 1031 | 44% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1027.5 has a 58.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).