Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
999 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
1066 | 1062 | 51% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
989 | 1073 | 38% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
1197 | 1051 | 70% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
991 | 991 | 50% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
1060 | 984 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1003 has a 59.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).