Beware the Hare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-12-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2013-09-01 | Lost |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1063 | 1084 | 47% | 2012-10-26 | Won |
| 1048 | 919 | 68% | 2012-08-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 1106 | 43% | 2012-08-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1051 | 63% | 2012-07-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-07-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.1 vs 993.3 has a 62.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).