The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (10 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1176 | 1030 | 70% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
1087 | 1271 | 26% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
987 | 887 | 64% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
995 | 989 | 51% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
1057 | 1040 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
1135 | 887 | 81% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
1063 | 1113 | 43% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1081.2 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).