The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (French): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1046 | 63% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1113 | 40% | 2014-07-14 | Won |
| 1061 | 1273 | 23% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 889 | 56% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1125 | 888 | 80% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1110 | 37% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1075.5 has a 44.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).