Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (19 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 24
Defender wins (German): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1052 | 47% | 2026-07-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1227 | 39% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 850 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1216 | 1112 | 65% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1216 | 1065 | 70% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1221 | 1028 | 75% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 993 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1211 | 51% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 999 | 46% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 826 | 1090 | 18% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 1146 | 16% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1156 | 31% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1029 | 65% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1072.3 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).