Green Berets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (18 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 25
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1238 | 37% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 850 | 75% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1197 | 1028 | 73% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 993 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 1251 | 881 | 89% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 933 | 1217 | 16% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 1039 | 40% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
| 826 | 1083 | 19% | 2016-08-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 1129 | 18% | 2015-08-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 983 | 54% | 2014-05-31 | Won |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2013-06-24 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1039 | 63% | 2013-06-07 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1140 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1055.9 has a 52.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).