The Tsar's Infernal Machines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1198 | 43% | 2026-01-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2025-03-22 | Won |
| 972 | 1184 | 23% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 937 | 1216 | 17% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1066 | 45% | 2021-02-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 1049 | 52% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1030 | 56% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 1077 | 977 | 64% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1127 | 61% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1082.6 has a 46.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).