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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2024-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 982 | 93% | 2022-04-16 | | Won |
| 961 | 1019 | 42% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2021-06-10 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-01-29 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2020-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 947 | 91% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2018-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2014-03-29 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1107.7 vs 1073.8 has a 54.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).