Portomaggiore
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (13 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2025-03-04 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2019-07-18 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1063 | 31% | 2017-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1088 | 46% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1226 | 39% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2013-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2013-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1099 | 81% | 2013-06-14 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2013-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2013-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1090.5 vs 1084.1 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).