Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 1183 | 17% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1205 | 1121 | 62% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 950 | 1111 | 28% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1183 | 31% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1055 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 831 | 891 | 41% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 883 | 1152 | 18% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 919 | 68% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 891 | 78% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1010.6 has a 56.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).