Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 1199 | 14% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1170 | 1158 | 52% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 948 | 1090 | 31% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1199 | 28% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1080 | 50% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1058 | 68% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 830 | 1007 | 27% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1125 | 910 | 78% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1007 | 61% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 1049.5 has a 52.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).