Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 902 | 1083 | 26% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1212 | 1120 | 63% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 979 | 1133 | 29% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1083 | 44% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1076 | 969 | 65% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1128 | 64% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 959 | 884 | 61% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 883 | 1141 | 18% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1040 | 919 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1021.3 has a 55.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).