Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (24 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 34
Defender wins (Hungarian): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1122 | 51% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 943 | 996 | 42% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 983 | 52% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 900 | 1019 | 34% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 1065 | 57% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1116 | 56% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 959 | 1028 | 40% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 841 | 987 | 30% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1125 | 940 | 74% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 966 | 63% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 996 | 55% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 960 | 43% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1098 | 49% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 898 | 1037 | 31% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 987 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.7 vs 1042.1 has a 47.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).