Last Minute War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (24 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 34
Defender wins (Hungarian): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1107 | 34% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1113 | 46% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1019 | 55% | 2021-03-31 | Won |
| 902 | 1025 | 33% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2019-02-06 | Won |
| 1048 | 1226 | 26% | 2018-12-14 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1063 | 62% | 2016-07-08 | Won |
| 949 | 1028 | 39% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 831 | 986 | 29% | 2014-06-30 | Lost |
| 1094 | 940 | 71% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1037 | 61% | 2013-11-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-09-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 891 | 69% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 913 | 950 | 45% | 2013-04-15 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1094 | 44% | 2013-02-18 | Won |
| 866 | 1037 | 27% | 2013-02-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1003 | 48% | 2012-12-29 | Lost |
| 871 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-12-09 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 1032.5 has a 48.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).