A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Polish): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2026-07-23 | | Lost |
| 869 | 1088 | 22% | 2025-01-29 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1191 | 21% | 2023-11-08 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-05-03 | D | Lost |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-10-07 | | Won |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-03-13 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2018-03-18 | | Won |
| 876 | 1108 | 21% | 2017-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1022 | 80% | 2016-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-10-12 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1218 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2016-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2013-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2013-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2013-03-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1067.9 has a 44.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).