A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 868 | 1107 | 20% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 973 | 1182 | 23% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 946 | 1020 | 40% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 987 | 52% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1048 | 979 | 60% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 980 | 63% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 1194 | 44% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 881 | 1096 | 22% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1036 | 1219 | 26% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1057 | 55% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 1042 | 890 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 940 | 1060 | 33% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1065.2 has a 45.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).