A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
868 | 1122 | 19% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
973 | 1189 | 22% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
943 | 748 | 75% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
993 | 988 | 51% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
970 | 976 | 49% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1074 | 980 | 63% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
1148 | 1199 | 43% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
913 | 1094 | 26% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
1041 | 1219 | 26% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
748 | 1132 | 10% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
1271 | 1058 | 77% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
1042 | 889 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
940 | 1058 | 34% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
976 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.1 vs 1054.1 has a 44.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).