A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
868 | 1143 | 17% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
973 | 1210 | 20% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
973 | 1061 | 38% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
966 | 988 | 47% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
927 | 976 | 43% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1088 | 980 | 65% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
1148 | 1219 | 40% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
913 | 1094 | 26% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
1173 | 1058 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
940 | 1038 | 36% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
1042 | 889 | 71% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
976 | 1038 | 41% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1073.3 has a 43.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).