A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Gurkha): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1049 | 48% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1116 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1316 | 1116 | 76% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 948 | 62% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
| 776 | 947 | 27% | 2022-08-24 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-08-13 | Tied |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1008 | 924 | 62% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 922 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 963 | 1137 | 27% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2018-05-24 | Lost |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2017-11-06 | Won |
| 852 | 966 | 34% | 2016-02-18 | Won |
| 1282 | 986 | 85% | 2015-09-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1316 | 16% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1209 | 51% | 2014-09-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1223 | 31% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
| 1118 | 1117 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1067.5 has a 46.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).